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NL West title going down to the wire
2010-09-29

With the Colorado Rockies playoff hopes eliminated Tuesday, the NL West race is down to two teams. The Padres and Giants remain to fight for the division title. San Francisco enters Wednesday with a two-game lead on San Diego and hopes to widen the gap when it hosts the Diamondbacks. Meanwhile, San Diego continues its four-game series with the Cubs at Petco.

Sportsbook.com Odds: San Francisco -150, Arizona +140 Total: 7.5

A pair of red-hot pitchers meet in San Francisco Wednesday night when Ian Kennedy (9-9, 3.76 ERA) goes up against Tim Lincecum (15-10, 3.51). Kennedy has a 1.12 ERA over his past three starts and has given up one run or less in five of his past six starts. The Arizona bullpen hasn’t been kind to Kennedy, as the Diamondbacks have lost three of his past four outings despite Kennedy’s strong starts. One such instance was September 6 against the Giants, where Kennedy went eight shutout innings, only to see San Francisco win the game 2-0 in 11 innings. Kennedy has been impressive against the Giants over his career, going 1-1 with a 2.20 ERA in four starts.

Linecum enters Wednesday off a terrific outing in Colorado where he went eight innings, giving up one run on two hits while striking out nine. The right-hander is 2-1 with a 1.80 ERA over his past three starts. After struggling in August, Lincecum has shined in September, winning four of his five starts without allowing more than three runs in any of those outings. He’s 6-2 with a 2.71 ERA in 13 career starts against the Diamondbacks.

Even though the Diamondbacks bullpen is shaky, this MLB betting trend likes Arizona:

Play On - All underdogs with a money line of +100 to +150 (ARIZONA) - with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.50 or worse on the season, with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP <= 1.100 over his last 10 games. (42-18 over the last 5 seasons.) (70%, +32.6 units. Rating = 4*).

Sportsbook.com Odds: San Diego -150, Chicago +140 Total: 6.5

The Padres look to pick up some ground on the Giants before heading to San Francisco to close out the year in what should be the biggest matchup of the weekend. First, they hope Chris Young (1-0, 1.20 ERA) can take care of the Cubs. Young is making his third start since coming off the disabled list earlier this month. He’s been effective in his two outings, combining to go nine innings, while giving up two runs on six hits. The Padres have won both those games, against Cincinnati and St. Louis.

Young will be opposed by Randy Wells (8-13. 4.28 ERA) Wells has pitched well lately, going 2-1 with a 2.08 ERA over his past three starts. His most recent effort was especially impressive, throwing 7.2 innings of shutout ball and picking up a win in San Francisco. Wells was on the wrong end of a 1-0 game against San Diego in August where he gave up one run on three hits over seven innings, but still took the loss.

Despite their woeful season, this betting trend suggests there might be some value in backing Chicago:

Play Against - Home favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (SAN DIEGO) - poor hitting team (AVG <=.250) against an average starting pitcher (ERA=4.20 to 5.20) -NL, with a very good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.250 or better on the season. (33-14 since 1997.) (70.2%, +32.1 units. Rating = 4*).




MLB: 4th celebrates America, baseball, betting
2010-07-03

The 4th of July holiday celebrates America’s independence, and nothing signifies one’s freedom more than being able to lay down Apuestas Deportivas Apuestas NFL Futbol Americano Online Bingo Rooms Play Bingo online SITRAK C7H Costa Rica 1989 Suzuki GS500E Modificada a few wagers on baseball, America’s game, on America’s birthday. As much as our elected officials seem to want to go to any length to deny us of that freedom, it’s still a passion that all of us reading this piece share. With that in mind, let’s take a look at the recent holiday history of Major League Baseball’s 30 teams, in hopes of uncovering which clubs are sparklers and which play like duds on this most celebratory of days. Get the latest lines for Sunday’s games Sportsbook.com’s LIVE ODDS page.

Before getting to each team, it’s important to note that overall, home field advantage has been significant in 4th of July games. In fact, since ’97, the year since which all the records below are noted, home teams have gone 116-78, good for a 59.8% win rate and +23.1 units of profit on this holiday. You have to figure that teams are more comfortable playing in front of the home folks in what is one of the most family-friendly days of the year. That said, let’s get to the teams and their performances on July 4th since ’97.

ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS

<b><i>4th of July Record Overall: </b></i>8-4, +5 Units (#4 of 30)

<b><i>Totals (O-U-P): </b></i>6-3-3

<b><i>At Home: </b></i>2-2

<b><i>On the Road: </b></i>6-2

<b><i>Trend(s): </b></i>Arizona has lost two in a row at home and four of five overall and will be hosting the Dodgers Sunday.

ATLANTA BRAVES

<b><i>4th of July Record Overall: </b></i>9-4, +4.7 Units (#5 of 30)

<b><i>Totals (O-U-P): </b></i>6-7-0

<b><i>At Home: </b></i>7-2

<b><i>On the Road: </b></i>2-2

<b><i>Trend(s): </b></i>Braves have won five of L6 July 4th games at home.

BALTIMORE ORIOLES

<b><i>4th of July Record Overall: </b></i>7-7, +3.1 Units (#6 of 30)

<b><i>Totals (O-U-P): </b></i>9-4-1

<b><i>At Home: </b></i>2-1

<b><i>On the Road: </b></i>5-6

<b><i>Trend(s): </b></i>Six of L7 July 4th games for the Orioles have gone OVER the total, while they have yielded 8.1 runs per game.

BOSTON RED SOX

<b><i>4th of July Record Overall: </b></i>7-6, -1.9 Units (#21 of 30)

<b><i>Totals (O-U-P): </b></i>9-4-0

<b><i>At Home: </b></i>2-2

<b><i>On the Road: </b></i>5-4

<b><i>Trend(s): </b></i>Boston is on an 8-2 OVER the total run on the 4th, having scored 8.6 RPG, and will be facing Baltimore, another OVER trending team, on Sunday.

CHICAGO WHITE SOX

<b><i>4th of July Record Overall: </b></i>5-8, -5 Units (#27 of 30)

<b><i>Totals (O-U-P): </b></i>6-7-0

<b><i>At Home: </b></i>4-4

<b><i>On the Road: </b></i>1-4

<b><i>Trend(s): </b></i>The White Sox have lost four straight 4th of July road games, all as favorites, and will be in Texas this year.

CHICAGO CUBS

<b><i>4th of July Record Overall: </b></i>4-9, -7.4 Units (#29 of 30)

<b><i>Totals (O-U-P): </b></i>6-7-0

<b><i>At Home: </b></i>2-3

<b><i>On the Road: </b></i>2-6

<b><i>Trend(s): </b></i>The Cubs have struggled on this holiday over the last 11 years, going just 2-9 while scoring just 2.2 RPG.

CINCINNATI REDS

<b><i>4th of July Record Overall: </b></i>6-7, -1.4 Units (#20 of 30)

<b><i>Totals (O-U-P): </b></i>4-7-2

<b><i>At Home: </b></i>4-5

<b><i>On the Road: </b></i>2-2

<b><i>Trend(s): </b></i>Cincinnati is on a 4-2 run in 4th of July games but hasn’t played on the road since ’06.

CLEVELAND INDIANS

<b><i>4th of July Record Overall: </b></i>6-8, -3.6 Units (#24 of 30)

<b><i>Totals (O-U-P): </b></i>9-5-0

<b><i>At Home: </b></i>6-2

<b><i>On the Road: </b></i>0-6

<b><i>Trend(s): </b></i>Including a 19-1 thrashing of the Yankees in ’06, Cleveland has won its L4 games on this holiday at home and will host Oakland this season.

COLORADO ROCKIES

<b><i>4th of July Record Overall: </b></i>5-8, -4.4 Units (#25 of 30)

<b><i>Totals (O-U-P): </b></i>7-6-0

<b><i>At Home: </b></i>4-3

<b><i>On the Road: </b></i>1-5

<b><i>Trend(s): </b></i>Colorado has played its L6 July 4th games at home, going 4-2 and 4-2 OVER. Those games produced an incredible 18.2 RPG.

DETROIT TIGERS

<b><i>4th of July Record Overall: </b></i>7-8, -0.4 Units (#14 of 30)

<b><i>Totals (O-U-P): </b></i>7-7-1

<b><i>At Home: </b></i>3-1

<b><i>On the Road: </b></i>4-7

<b><i>Trend(s): </b></i>This year’s game versus Seattle will be just Detroit’s second home 4th of July game since ’01. The Tigers have lost their L7 on the road but won the sole home game in that span.

FLORIDA MARLINS

<b><i>4th of July Record Overall: </b></i>7-6, +2 Units (#9 of 30)

<b><i>Totals (O-U-P): </b></i>5-7-1

<b><i>At Home: </b></i>5-1

<b><i>On the Road: </b></i>2-5

<b><i>Trend(s): </b></i>Florida has lost its L3 Independence Day road games, but by a combined four runs.

HOUSTON ASTROS

<b><i>4th of July Record Overall: </b></i>4-9, -7.2 Units (#28 of 30)

<b><i>Totals (O-U-P): </b></i>7-6-0

<b><i>At Home: </b></i>2-6

<b><i>On the Road: </b></i>2-3

<b><i>Trend(s): </b></i>The 4th holiday has been a struggle for the Astros, as they are just 4-9 since ’97 for -7.2 units, better than only two other clubs.

KANSAS CITY ROYALS

<b><i>4th of July Record Overall: </b></i>6-7, +0.9 Units (#11 of 30)

<b><i>Totals (O-U-P): </b></i>7-5-1

<b><i>At Home: </b></i>5-2

<b><i>On the Road: </b></i>1-5

<b><i>Trend(s): </b></i>Kansas City will look to avoid a 5-game 4th of July road losing streak in Anaheim on Sunday.

LOS ANGELES ANGELS

<b><i>4th of July Record Overall: </b></i>6-7, -2.3 Units (#22 of 30)

<b><i>Totals (O-U-P): </b></i>7-5-1

<b><i>At Home: </b></i>3-5

<b><i>On the Road: </b></i>3-2

<b><i>Trend(s): </b></i>Four of the L5 Angels’ Independence Day games have gone OVER the total, as they’ve scored 8.0 RPG themselves.

LOS ANGELES DODGERS

<b><i>4th of July Record Overall: </b></i>8-5, +2.7 Units (#8 of 30)

<b><i>Totals (O-U-P): </b></i>4-8-1

<b><i>At Home: </b></i>3-2

<b><i>On the Road: </b></i>5-3

<b><i>Trend(s): </b></i>The Dodgers are on a 4-2 run overall on the 4th of July and 3-1 on the road and will be in Arizona on Sunday.

MILWAUKEE BREWERS

<b><i>4th of July Record Overall: </b></i>6-7, -1.2 Units (#19 of 30)

<b><i>Totals (O-U-P): </b></i>6-4-3

<b><i>At Home: </b></i>2-4

<b><i>On the Road: </b></i>4-3

<b><i>Trend(s): </b></i>Milwaukee has enjoyed its most recent 4th of July games, going 4-1 in its L5 while outscoring opponents 31-12.

MINNESOTA TWINS

<b><i>4th of July Record Overall: </b></i>6-7, -1.1 Units (#18 of 30)

<b><i>Totals (O-U-P): </b></i>6-5-2

<b><i>At Home: </b></i>3-3

<b><i>On the Road: </b></i>3-4

<b><i>Trend(s): </b></i>Minnesota will look to extend a 3-game holiday winning streak when it hosts Tampa Bay for its first 4th of July game at new Target Field.

NEW YORK METS

<b><i>4th of July Record Overall: </b></i>7-6, +1.1 Units (#10 of 30)

<b><i>Totals (O-U-P): </b></i>6-6-1

<b><i>At Home: </b></i>5-0

<b><i>On the Road: </b></i>2-6

<b><i>Trend(s): </b></i>The Mets have lost their last three 4th of July games, all on the road, and will put that skid on the line at Washington.

NEW YORK YANKEES

<b><i>4th of July Record Overall: </b></i>5-8, -7.6 Units (#30 of 30)

<b><i>Totals (O-U-P): </b></i>8-4-1

<b><i>At Home: </b></i>4-5

<b><i>On the Road: </b></i>1-3

<b><i>Trend(s): </b></i>The Yankees have been the biggest duds in baseball on this specific holiday, going 5-8 for a league worst -7.6 units since ’97. The OVER the total is 6-0-1 in the L7, with opponents bashing New York pitching for 8.6 RPG.

OAKLAND ATHLETICS

<b><i>4th of July Record Overall: </b></i>6-6, -0.5 Units (#15 of 30)

<b><i>Totals (O-U-P): </b></i>5-7-0

<b><i>At Home: </b></i>3-3

<b><i>On the Road: </b></i>3-3

<b><i>Trend(s): </b></i>Six of the L8 Oakland games on Independence Day have gone UNDER the total.

PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES

<b><i>4th of July Record Overall: </b></i>10-3, +6.8 Units (#2 of 30)

<b><i>Totals (O-U-P): </b></i>6-7-0

<b><i>At Home: </b></i>6-3

<b><i>On the Road: </b></i>4-0

<b><i>Trend(s): </b></i>Philadelphia, the city where our country’s Independence was born, has the best profit record of any team in baseball on the 4th of July since ’98, going 10-2 while outscoring foes 63-30.

PITTSBURGH PIRATES

<b><i>4th of July Record Overall: </b></i>6-7, +0 Units (#12 of 30)

<b><i>Totals (O-U-P): </b></i>8-4-1

<b><i>At Home: </b></i>3-3

<b><i>On the Road: </b></i>3-4

<b><i>Trend(s): </b></i>Little changes for Pittsburgh on this special holiday when compared to every other day of the season, as the Pirates are just 1-4 dating back to ’05, outscored 36-16.

SAN DIEGO PADRES

<b><i>4th of July Record Overall: </b></i>8-4, +5.6 Units (#3 of 30)

<b><i>Totals (O-U-P): </b></i>6-5-1

<b><i>At Home: </b></i>6-2

<b><i>On the Road: </b></i>2-2

<b><i>Trend(s): </b></i>San Diego is on a strong 6-1 run at home on the 4th of July and welcomes lowly Houston for the 4-game series finale on Sunday.

SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS

<b><i>4th of July Record Overall: </b></i>6-8, -3.6 Units (#23 of 30)

<b><i>Totals (O-U-P): </b></i>7-6-1

<b><i>At Home: </b></i>4-4

<b><i>On the Road: </b></i>2-4

<b><i>Trend(s): </b></i>Six of the L7 San Francisco 4th of July games have gone over the total. Average Score – Giants 7.1 , Opponents 6.7

SEATTLE MARINERS

<b><i>4th of July Record Overall: </b></i>7-6, -0.2 Units (#13 of 30)

<b><i>Totals (O-U-P): </b></i>4-9-0

<b><i>At Home: </b></i>2-1

<b><i>On the Road: </b></i>5-5

<b><i>Trend(s): </b></i>Seattle, in Detroit on Sunday, has won three straight Independence Day road games, holding opposing lineups to three total runs. Plus, overall, eight of the L9 Mariners’ games on this holiday have gone UNDER the total.


ST LOUIS CARDINALS

<b><i>4th of July Record Overall: </b></i>8-5, +3 Units (#7 of 30)

<b><i>Totals (O-U-P): </b></i>6-4-3

<b><i>At Home: </b></i>4-3

<b><i>On the Road: </b></i>4-2

<b><i>Trend(s): </b></i>St. Louis has lost back-to-back 4th of July games after winning the prior eight.

TAMPA BAY RAYS

<b><i>4th of July Record Overall: </b></i>3-9, -4.9 Units (#26 of 30)

<b><i>Totals (O-U-P): </b></i>7-5-0

<b><i>At Home: </b></i>3-2

<b><i>On the Road: </b></i>0-7

<b><i>Trend(s): </b></i>The Rays have never won a 4th of July road game in seven tries, getting outscored 58-31. They’ll put that skid on the line in Minnesota on Sunday.

TEXAS RANGERS

<b><i>4th of July Record Overall: </b></i>10-3, +9.6 Units (#1 of 30)

<b><i>Totals (O-U-P): </b></i>7-6-0

<b><i>At Home: </b></i>9-2

<b><i>On the Road: </b></i>1-1

<b><i>Trend(s): </b></i>Texas has put up 4th of July offensive fireworks in going 10-3 since ’97, scoring 7.4 RPG, while producing a league best 9.6 units of profit.

TORONTO BLUE JAYS

<b><i>4th of July Record Overall: </b></i>6-6, -0.7 Units (#17 of 30)

<b><i>Totals (O-U-P): </b></i>7-5-0

<b><i>At Home: </b></i>3-0

<b><i>On the Road: </b></i>3-6

<b><i>Trend(s): </b></i>Fittingly, Toronto’s last nine 4th of July games have been on American soil. The Jays are 3-6 in those and OVER the total is 7-2.

WASHINGTON NATIONALS

<b><i>4th of July Record Overall: </b></i>6-7, -0.7 Units (#16 of 30)

<b><i>Totals (O-U-P): </b></i>6-7-0

<b><i>At Home: </b></i>5-3

<b><i>On the Road: </b></i>1-4

<b><i>Trend(s): </b></i>The Nationals’ franchise is a profitable 6-3 for +3.8 units in its L9 4th of July games.

Enjoy the holiday and all baseball the action on Sunday. Hopefully your bankroll explodes like a firecracker!








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